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Serie A · Italy · Regular Season - 9

Fiorentina

22:45
Tomorrow

Atalanta

Prediction

No market clears our confidence bar for this match, so there's no headline pick. Here's how we see it:

FiorentinaDrawAtalanta
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.5
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
45 / 46

Result

1 · Home 30% fair 3.36
X · Draw 28% fair 3.62
2 · Away 43% fair 2.35

Double chance

1X 57% fair 1.74
12 72% fair 1.38
X2 70% fair 1.42

Goals

Over 1.5 76% fair 1.32
Over 2.5 50% fair 2.00
Over 3.5 28% fair 3.58
Under 1.5 24% fair 4.09
Under 2.5 50% fair 2.00
Under 3.5 72% fair 1.39

Both teams score

GG · Yes 55% fair 1.83
NG · No 45% fair 2.21

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.6 – 0.7. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Fiorentina 25% 3.94
  • Draw 41% 2.43
  • Atalanta 33% 2.99

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 74% 1.35
  • Under 0.5 26% 3.87
  • Over 1.5 35% 2.85
  • Under 1.5 65% 1.54

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 21% 4.76
  • No 79% 1.27

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 86% 1.16
  • Under 0.5 14% 7.07
  • Over 1.5 51% 1.96
  • Under 1.5 49% 2.04

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 33% 3.06
  • No 67% 1.48

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 64% 1.57
  • No 36% 2.75

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 27% 3.74
  • 2nd half 49% 2.06
  • Equal 25% 4.04

Half time / Full time

  • Fiorentina / Fiorentina 17% 6.05
  • Fiorentina / Draw 6% 16.92
  • Fiorentina / Atalanta 3% 35.97
  • Draw / Fiorentina 11% 9.03
  • Draw / Draw 16% 6.32
  • Draw / Atalanta 15% 6.69
  • Atalanta / Fiorentina 2% 47.17
  • Atalanta / Draw 6% 16.92
  • Atalanta / Atalanta 25% 4.02

Correct score

  • 1-1 13% 7.58
  • 0-1 9% 10.82
  • 1-2 9% 11.11
  • 0-0 8% 12.64
  • 0-2 8% 13.28
  • 1-0 7% 13.68
  • 2-1 7% 13.70
  • 2-2 5% 18.59

Corners & cards

Expected corners 4.5 – 4.6, expected cards 1.6 – 2.1. Cards count yellow and red; settled on 90 minutes.

Total corners

  • Over 7.5 65% 1.53
  • Under 7.5 35% 2.89
  • Over 8.5 54% 1.85
  • Under 8.5 46% 2.17
  • Over 9.5 43% 2.33
  • Under 9.5 57% 1.75
  • Over 10.5 33% 3.06
  • Under 10.5 67% 1.49

Home team corners

  • Over 3.5 62% 1.61
  • Under 3.5 38% 2.65
  • Over 4.5 46% 2.18
  • Under 4.5 54% 1.85

Away team corners

  • Over 3.5 63% 1.58
  • Under 3.5 37% 2.72
  • Over 4.5 47% 2.13
  • Under 4.5 53% 1.88

Most corners

  • Fiorentina 43% 2.30
  • Equal 12% 8.56
  • Atalanta 45% 2.23

Total cards

  • Over 1.5 89% 1.13
  • Under 1.5 11% 8.95
  • Over 2.5 72% 1.38
  • Under 2.5 28% 3.62
  • Over 3.5 52% 1.93
  • Under 3.5 48% 2.08
  • Over 4.5 33% 3.08
  • Under 4.5 67% 1.48

Most cards

  • Fiorentina 30% 3.32
  • Equal 21% 4.81
  • Atalanta 49% 2.04

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Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.