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Serie A · Italy · Regular Season - 9

Parma

20:30
Today

Udinese

Prediction

No market clears our confidence bar for this match, so there's no headline pick. Here's how we see it:

ParmaDrawUdinese
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.4
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
45 / 45

Result

1 · Home 31% fair 3.22
X · Draw 29% fair 3.47
2 · Away 40% fair 2.49

Double chance

1X 60% fair 1.67
12 71% fair 1.40
X2 69% fair 1.45

Goals

Over 1.5 73% fair 1.38
Over 2.5 46% fair 2.17
Over 3.5 25% fair 4.07
Under 1.5 27% fair 3.65
Under 2.5 54% fair 1.85
Under 3.5 75% fair 1.33

Both teams score

GG · Yes 52% fair 1.92
NG · No 48% fair 2.08

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.5 – 0.6. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Parma 26% 3.88
  • Draw 43% 2.34
  • Udinese 32% 3.17

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 72% 1.38
  • Under 0.5 28% 3.60
  • Over 1.5 32% 3.08
  • Under 1.5 68% 1.48

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 19% 5.16
  • No 81% 1.24

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 84% 1.18
  • Under 0.5 16% 6.41
  • Over 1.5 48% 2.09
  • Under 1.5 52% 1.92

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 30% 3.29
  • No 70% 1.44

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 61% 1.64
  • No 39% 2.56

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 27% 3.77
  • 2nd half 48% 2.09
  • Equal 26% 3.90

Half time / Full time

  • Parma / Parma 17% 5.81
  • Parma / Draw 6% 17.06
  • Parma / Udinese 3% 40.00
  • Draw / Parma 12% 8.50
  • Draw / Draw 17% 5.86
  • Draw / Udinese 15% 6.84
  • Udinese / Parma 2% 48.78
  • Udinese / Draw 6% 17.06
  • Udinese / Udinese 23% 4.33

Correct score

  • 1-1 14% 7.28
  • 0-1 10% 10.07
  • 0-0 9% 10.99
  • 1-2 9% 11.61
  • 1-0 8% 11.95
  • 0-2 7% 13.48
  • 2-1 7% 13.55
  • 2-0 5% 18.35

Corners & cards

Expected corners 5.0 – 4.4, expected cards 1.6 – 2.1. Cards count yellow and red; settled on 90 minutes.

Total corners

  • Over 7.5 68% 1.48
  • Under 7.5 32% 3.10
  • Over 8.5 57% 1.77
  • Under 8.5 43% 2.30
  • Over 9.5 46% 2.20
  • Under 9.5 55% 1.83
  • Over 10.5 35% 2.84
  • Under 10.5 65% 1.54

Home team corners

  • Over 3.5 68% 1.47
  • Under 3.5 32% 3.14
  • Over 4.5 53% 1.90
  • Under 4.5 47% 2.11

Away team corners

  • Over 3.5 60% 1.66
  • Under 3.5 40% 2.52
  • Over 4.5 44% 2.28
  • Under 4.5 56% 1.78

Most corners

  • Parma 50% 1.98
  • Equal 11% 8.80
  • Udinese 38% 2.61

Total cards

  • Over 1.5 88% 1.14
  • Under 1.5 12% 8.23
  • Over 2.5 71% 1.42
  • Under 2.5 29% 3.40
  • Over 3.5 50% 2.02
  • Under 3.5 50% 1.98
  • Over 4.5 30% 3.28
  • Under 4.5 70% 1.44

Most cards

  • Parma 30% 3.37
  • Equal 21% 4.74
  • Udinese 49% 2.03

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Our chance
Fair odds
on average this returns about UGX profit per 10,000 UGX staked, if our numbers are right. the odds are close to our fair odds (), so there's little or no edge either way. the bookmaker's odds are below our fair odds (), so the price is too short for the real chance.

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Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.