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Reserve League · Argentina · Clausura - 15

Independiente Res.

4 – 1
FT

Defensa y Justicia Res.

Prediction

No market clears our confidence bar for this match, so there's no headline pick. Here's how we see it:

Independiente Res.DrawDefensa y Justicia Res.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.1
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
13 / 12

Result

1 · Home 45% fair 2.25
X · Draw 28% fair 3.53
2 · Away 27% fair 3.68

Double chance

1X 73% fair 1.37
12 72% fair 1.39
X2 55% fair 1.80

Goals

Over 1.5 73% fair 1.37
Over 2.5 46% fair 2.16
Over 3.5 25% fair 4.04
Under 1.5 27% fair 3.67
Under 2.5 54% fair 1.86
Under 3.5 75% fair 1.33

Both teams score

GG · Yes 51% fair 1.94
NG · No 49% fair 2.06

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.7 – 0.5 · Half time 2–1. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Independiente Res. 35% 2.88
  • Draw 42% 2.40
  • Defensa y Justicia Res. 24% 4.23

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 73% 1.36
  • Under 0.5 27% 3.75
  • Over 1.5 34% 2.95
  • Under 1.5 66% 1.51

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 20% 4.99
  • No 80% 1.25

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 84% 1.19
  • Under 0.5 16% 6.22
  • Over 1.5 47% 2.14
  • Under 1.5 53% 1.88

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 29% 3.43
  • No 71% 1.41

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 62% 1.63
  • No 38% 2.60

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 28% 3.57
  • 2nd half 46% 2.17
  • Equal 26% 3.87

Half time / Full time

  • Independiente Res. / Independiente Res. 26% 3.78
  • Independiente Res. / Draw 6% 17.33
  • Independiente Res. / Defensa y Justicia Res. 2% –
  • Draw / Independiente Res. 15% 6.47
  • Draw / Draw 17% 5.97
  • Draw / Defensa y Justicia Res. 10% 9.77
  • Defensa y Justicia Res. / Independiente Res. 3% 38.31
  • Defensa y Justicia Res. / Draw 6% 17.33
  • Defensa y Justicia Res. / Defensa y Justicia Res. 15% 6.61

Correct score

  • 1-1 13% 7.41
  • 1-0 11% 9.44
  • 2-1 9% 11.07
  • 0-0 9% 11.10
  • 2-0 8% 11.93
  • 0-1 8% 13.09
  • 1-2 7% 14.86
  • 2-2 5% 20.53

Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.