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Reserve League · Argentina · Clausura - 15

Instituto Res.

21:00
Tomorrow

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Prediction

No market clears our confidence bar for this match, so there's no headline pick. Here's how we see it:

Instituto Res.DrawVélez Sársfield Res.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.2
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
11 / 13

Result

1 · Home 39% fair 2.55
X · Draw 29% fair 3.45
2 · Away 32% fair 3.14

Double chance

1X 68% fair 1.47
12 71% fair 1.41
X2 61% fair 1.64

Goals

Over 1.5 72% fair 1.38
Over 2.5 46% fair 2.19
Over 3.5 24% fair 4.13
Under 1.5 28% fair 3.60
Under 2.5 54% fair 1.84
Under 3.5 76% fair 1.32

Both teams score

GG · Yes 52% fair 1.93
NG · No 48% fair 2.07

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.6 – 0.6. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Instituto Res. 31% 3.19
  • Draw 42% 2.38
  • Vélez Sársfield Res. 27% 3.75

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 73% 1.37
  • Under 0.5 27% 3.72
  • Over 1.5 34% 2.97
  • Under 1.5 66% 1.51

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 20% 4.94
  • No 80% 1.25

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 84% 1.20
  • Under 0.5 16% 6.07
  • Over 1.5 46% 2.17
  • Under 1.5 54% 1.85

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 29% 3.44
  • No 71% 1.41

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 61% 1.64
  • No 39% 2.57

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 28% 3.54
  • 2nd half 46% 2.19
  • Equal 26% 3.84

Half time / Full time

  • Instituto Res. / Instituto Res. 23% 4.37
  • Instituto Res. / Draw 6% 16.95
  • Instituto Res. / Vélez Sársfield Res. 2% 49.02
  • Draw / Instituto Res. 14% 7.19
  • Draw / Draw 17% 5.83
  • Draw / Vélez Sársfield Res. 12% 8.53
  • Vélez Sársfield Res. / Instituto Res. 2% 42.02
  • Vélez Sársfield Res. / Draw 6% 16.95
  • Vélez Sársfield Res. / Vélez Sársfield Res. 18% 5.52

Correct score

  • 1-1 14% 7.24
  • 1-0 10% 10.12
  • 0-0 9% 10.81
  • 0-1 9% 11.60
  • 2-1 8% 11.81
  • 1-2 8% 13.33
  • 2-0 7% 13.85
  • 0-2 6% 17.67

Is your bookmaker's price good value?

Pick a selection and type the odds your bookmaker offers. If the odds are higher than our fair odds, the bet pays more than its real chance deserves.

Our chance
Fair odds
on average this returns about UGX profit per 10,000 UGX staked, if our numbers are right. the odds are close to our fair odds (), so there's little or no edge either way. the bookmaker's odds are below our fair odds (), so the price is too short for the real chance.

Value means better long-run returns, not a sure win. Any single bet can still lose.

Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.