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Australian Championship · Australia · Group Stage - 3

Canberra FC

11:30
Tomorrow

South Melbourne

Prediction

We only know 2 recent results for Canberra FC and 2 for South Melbourne, so we're not making a pick. The chances below are rough.

Canberra FCDrawSouth Melbourne
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.6
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
2 / 2

Result

1 · Home 23% fair 4.36
X · Draw 27% fair 3.65
2 · Away 50% fair 2.01

Double chance

1X 50% fair 1.99
12 73% fair 1.38
X2 77% fair 1.30

Goals

Over 1.5 73% fair 1.37
Over 2.5 47% fair 2.15
Over 3.5 25% fair 3.99
Under 1.5 27% fair 3.71
Under 2.5 53% fair 1.87
Under 3.5 75% fair 1.33

Both teams score

GG · Yes 50% fair 1.99
NG · No 50% fair 2.01

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.5 – 0.7. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Canberra FC 21% 4.81
  • Draw 41% 2.42
  • South Melbourne 38% 2.64

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 73% 1.36
  • Under 0.5 27% 3.75
  • Over 1.5 34% 2.95
  • Under 1.5 66% 1.51

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 19% 5.14
  • No 81% 1.24

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 84% 1.19
  • Under 0.5 16% 6.32
  • Over 1.5 47% 2.11
  • Under 1.5 53% 1.90

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 29% 3.48
  • No 71% 1.40

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 62% 1.62
  • No 38% 2.61

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 28% 3.61
  • 2nd half 47% 2.15
  • Equal 26% 3.89

Half time / Full time

  • Canberra FC / Canberra FC 13% 7.99
  • Canberra FC / Draw 6% 18.08
  • Canberra FC / South Melbourne 3% 36.10
  • Draw / Canberra FC 9% 11.25
  • Draw / Draw 16% 6.13
  • Draw / South Melbourne 17% 5.92
  • South Melbourne / Canberra FC 2% –
  • South Melbourne / Draw 6% 18.08
  • South Melbourne / South Melbourne 30% 3.33

Correct score

  • 1-1 13% 7.67
  • 0-1 11% 8.84
  • 0-2 10% 10.47
  • 1-2 9% 10.65
  • 0-0 9% 11.29
  • 1-0 7% 14.71
  • 2-1 6% 16.84
  • 0-3 5% 20.20

Rough numbers: we know few recent results for one of the teams.

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Pick a selection and type the odds your bookmaker offers. If the odds are higher than our fair odds, the bet pays more than its real chance deserves.

Our chance
Fair odds
on average this returns about UGX profit per 10,000 UGX staked, if our numbers are right. the odds are close to our fair odds (), so there's little or no edge either way. the bookmaker's odds are below our fair odds (), so the price is too short for the real chance.

Value means better long-run returns, not a sure win. Any single bet can still lose.

Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.