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League Cup · England · Round of 16

Bournemouth

22:45
Today

Aston Villa

Prediction

Our prediction Bournemouth win 55%
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.1
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
46 / 46

Result

1 · Home 55% fair 1.81
X · Draw 24% fair 4.12
2 · Away 20% fair 4.88

Double chance

1X 80% fair 1.26
12 76% fair 1.32
X2 45% fair 2.24

Goals

Over 1.5 80% fair 1.25
Over 2.5 56% fair 1.79
Over 3.5 34% fair 2.98
Under 1.5 20% fair 4.94
Under 2.5 44% fair 2.27
Under 3.5 66% fair 1.50

Both teams score

GG · Yes 56% fair 1.78
NG · No 44% fair 2.28

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.9 – 0.5. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Bournemouth 43% 2.35
  • Draw 38% 2.66
  • Aston Villa 20% 5.03

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 78% 1.29
  • Under 0.5 22% 4.45
  • Over 1.5 40% 2.50
  • Under 1.5 60% 1.67

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 23% 4.35
  • No 77% 1.30

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 88% 1.14
  • Under 0.5 12% 8.12
  • Over 1.5 55% 1.82
  • Under 1.5 45% 2.22

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 34% 2.96
  • No 66% 1.51

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 68% 1.47
  • No 32% 3.12

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 28% 3.58
  • 2nd half 49% 2.06
  • Equal 24% 4.24

Half time / Full time

  • Bournemouth / Bournemouth 35% 2.89
  • Bournemouth / Draw 5% 18.35
  • Bournemouth / Aston Villa 2% –
  • Draw / Bournemouth 17% 5.79
  • Draw / Draw 13% 7.49
  • Draw / Aston Villa 8% 13.09
  • Aston Villa / Bournemouth 3% 29.33
  • Aston Villa / Draw 5% 18.35
  • Aston Villa / Aston Villa 11% 8.93

Correct score

  • 1-1 11% 8.72
  • 2-1 10% 10.11
  • 2-0 9% 10.72
  • 1-0 9% 10.91
  • 0-0 6% 16.05
  • 3-1 6% 16.29
  • 3-0 6% 17.27
  • 1-2 6% 17.76

Corners & cards

Expected corners 5.7 – 4.7, expected cards 2.6 – 2.0. Cards count yellow and red; settled on 90 minutes.

Total corners

  • Over 8.5 67% 1.50
  • Under 8.5 33% 2.99
  • Over 9.5 56% 1.78
  • Under 9.5 44% 2.28
  • Over 10.5 46% 2.18
  • Under 10.5 54% 1.85
  • Over 11.5 36% 2.77
  • Under 11.5 64% 1.57

Home team corners

  • Over 4.5 63% 1.59
  • Under 4.5 37% 2.68
  • Over 5.5 49% 2.06
  • Under 5.5 51% 1.94

Away team corners

  • Over 3.5 64% 1.56
  • Under 3.5 36% 2.79
  • Over 4.5 48% 2.08
  • Under 4.5 52% 1.92

Most corners

  • Bournemouth 55% 1.81
  • Equal 10% 9.63
  • Aston Villa 34% 2.91

Total cards

  • Over 2.5 83% 1.20
  • Under 2.5 17% 5.96
  • Over 3.5 67% 1.50
  • Under 3.5 33% 3.01
  • Over 4.5 48% 2.08
  • Under 4.5 52% 1.92
  • Over 5.5 31% 3.23
  • Under 5.5 69% 1.45

Most cards

  • Bournemouth 52% 1.93
  • Equal 19% 5.40
  • Aston Villa 30% 3.36

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Our chance
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Value means better long-run returns, not a sure win. Any single bet can still lose.

Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.