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League Cup · England · Round of 16

Everton

22:45
Tomorrow

Newcastle

Prediction

No market clears our confidence bar for this match, so there's no headline pick. Here's how we see it:

EvertonDrawNewcastle
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.3
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
45 / 45

Result

1 · Home 41% fair 2.42
X · Draw 27% fair 3.68
2 · Away 31% fair 3.18

Double chance

1X 69% fair 1.46
12 73% fair 1.37
X2 59% fair 1.71

Goals

Over 1.5 77% fair 1.29
Over 2.5 52% fair 1.91
Over 3.5 30% fair 3.33
Under 1.5 23% fair 4.40
Under 2.5 48% fair 2.09
Under 3.5 70% fair 1.43

Both teams score

GG · Yes 57% fair 1.76
NG · No 43% fair 2.31

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.7 – 0.6. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Everton 33% 3.01
  • Draw 40% 2.51
  • Newcastle 27% 3.72

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 76% 1.32
  • Under 0.5 24% 4.13
  • Over 1.5 37% 2.67
  • Under 1.5 63% 1.60

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 23% 4.39
  • No 77% 1.29

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 86% 1.16
  • Under 0.5 14% 7.35
  • Over 1.5 52% 1.92
  • Under 1.5 48% 2.09

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 34% 2.97
  • No 66% 1.51

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 65% 1.53
  • No 35% 2.90

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 28% 3.61
  • 2nd half 48% 2.09
  • Equal 24% 4.10

Half time / Full time

  • Everton / Everton 24% 4.09
  • Everton / Draw 6% 16.61
  • Everton / Newcastle 2% 43.67
  • Draw / Everton 14% 7.06
  • Draw / Draw 15% 6.59
  • Draw / Newcastle 11% 8.87
  • Newcastle / Everton 3% 35.59
  • Newcastle / Draw 6% 16.61
  • Newcastle / Newcastle 18% 5.61

Correct score

  • 1-1 13% 7.74
  • 2-1 9% 11.21
  • 1-0 8% 11.85
  • 1-2 8% 13.14
  • 0-0 7% 13.79
  • 0-1 7% 14.16
  • 2-0 7% 14.27
  • 2-2 6% 17.61

Corners & cards

Expected corners 4.7 – 5.0, expected cards 2.4 – 1.7. Cards count yellow and red; settled on 90 minutes.

Total corners

  • Over 7.5 70% 1.42
  • Under 7.5 30% 3.37
  • Over 8.5 60% 1.68
  • Under 8.5 40% 2.47
  • Over 9.5 49% 2.06
  • Under 9.5 51% 1.94
  • Over 10.5 38% 2.62
  • Under 10.5 62% 1.62

Home team corners

  • Over 3.5 64% 1.55
  • Under 3.5 36% 2.81
  • Over 4.5 48% 2.07
  • Under 4.5 52% 1.93

Away team corners

  • Over 3.5 68% 1.47
  • Under 3.5 32% 3.13
  • Over 4.5 52% 1.91
  • Under 4.5 48% 2.10

Most corners

  • Everton 41% 2.41
  • Equal 11% 8.90
  • Newcastle 47% 2.11

Total cards

  • Over 2.5 78% 1.28
  • Under 2.5 22% 4.59
  • Over 3.5 59% 1.68
  • Under 3.5 41% 2.47
  • Over 4.5 40% 2.49
  • Under 4.5 60% 1.67
  • Over 5.5 24% 4.17
  • Under 5.5 76% 1.32

Most cards

  • Everton 53% 1.88
  • Equal 19% 5.20
  • Newcastle 27% 3.64

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Our chance
Fair odds
on average this returns about UGX profit per 10,000 UGX staked, if our numbers are right. the odds are close to our fair odds (), so there's little or no edge either way. the bookmaker's odds are below our fair odds (), so the price is too short for the real chance.

Value means better long-run returns, not a sure win. Any single bet can still lose.

Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.