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League Cup · England · Round of 16

Liverpool

23:00
Today

Chelsea

Prediction

Our prediction Liverpool win 58%
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.1
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
46 / 45

Result

1 · Home 58% fair 1.73
X · Draw 23% fair 4.40
2 · Away 20% fair 5.10

Double chance

1X 80% fair 1.24
12 77% fair 1.29
X2 42% fair 2.36

Goals

Over 1.5 83% fair 1.20
Over 2.5 61% fair 1.64
Over 3.5 39% fair 2.59
Under 1.5 17% fair 5.89
Under 2.5 39% fair 2.56
Under 3.5 61% fair 1.63

Both teams score

GG · Yes 59% fair 1.69
NG · No 41% fair 2.46

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 1.0 – 0.5. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Liverpool 45% 2.24
  • Draw 36% 2.81
  • Chelsea 20% 5.08

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 80% 1.25
  • Under 0.5 20% 4.96
  • Over 1.5 44% 2.29
  • Under 1.5 56% 1.78

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 25% 3.96
  • No 75% 1.34

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 89% 1.12
  • Under 0.5 11% 9.37
  • Over 1.5 59% 1.69
  • Under 1.5 41% 2.45

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 37% 2.73
  • No 63% 1.58

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 71% 1.40
  • No 29% 3.49

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 28% 3.56
  • 2nd half 49% 2.03
  • Equal 23% 4.44

Half time / Full time

  • Liverpool / Liverpool 37% 2.72
  • Liverpool / Draw 5% 18.59
  • Liverpool / Chelsea 2% –
  • Draw / Liverpool 17% 5.82
  • Draw / Draw 12% 8.36
  • Draw / Chelsea 7% 14.03
  • Chelsea / Liverpool 4% 26.67
  • Chelsea / Draw 5% 18.59
  • Chelsea / Chelsea 11% 9.27

Correct score

  • 1-1 11% 9.51
  • 2-1 10% 10.11
  • 2-0 9% 11.33
  • 1-0 8% 12.63
  • 3-1 7% 14.93
  • 3-0 6% 16.72
  • 2-2 6% 18.05
  • 1-2 5% 18.35

Corners & cards

Expected corners 5.7 – 4.3, expected cards 1.7 – 2.7. Cards count yellow and red; settled on 90 minutes.

Total corners

  • Over 7.5 73% 1.37
  • Under 7.5 27% 3.68
  • Over 8.5 63% 1.60
  • Under 8.5 37% 2.67
  • Over 9.5 52% 1.93
  • Under 9.5 48% 2.07
  • Over 10.5 41% 2.42
  • Under 10.5 59% 1.71

Home team corners

  • Over 4.5 62% 1.61
  • Under 4.5 38% 2.65
  • Over 5.5 48% 2.08
  • Under 5.5 52% 1.92

Away team corners

  • Over 3.5 58% 1.71
  • Under 3.5 42% 2.41
  • Over 4.5 42% 2.39
  • Under 4.5 58% 1.72

Most corners

  • Liverpool 59% 1.69
  • Equal 10% 9.63
  • Chelsea 31% 3.27

Total cards

  • Over 2.5 82% 1.23
  • Under 2.5 18% 5.44
  • Over 3.5 64% 1.55
  • Under 3.5 36% 2.81
  • Over 4.5 45% 2.21
  • Under 4.5 55% 1.83
  • Over 5.5 28% 3.51
  • Under 5.5 72% 1.40

Most cards

  • Liverpool 24% 4.13
  • Equal 18% 5.59
  • Chelsea 58% 1.73

Is your bookmaker's price good value?

Pick a selection and type the odds your bookmaker offers. If the odds are higher than our fair odds, the bet pays more than its real chance deserves.

Our chance
Fair odds
on average this returns about UGX profit per 10,000 UGX staked, if our numbers are right. the odds are close to our fair odds (), so there's little or no edge either way. the bookmaker's odds are below our fair odds (), so the price is too short for the real chance.

Value means better long-run returns, not a sure win. Any single bet can still lose.

Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.