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League Cup · England · Round of 16

Sunderland

22:45
Today

Brentford

Prediction

No market clears our confidence bar for this match, so there's no headline pick. Here's how we see it:

SunderlandDrawBrentford
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.4
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
46 / 45

Result

1 · Home 35% fair 2.84
X · Draw 28% fair 3.58
2 · Away 37% fair 2.71

Double chance

1X 63% fair 1.58
12 72% fair 1.39
X2 65% fair 1.54

Goals

Over 1.5 76% fair 1.32
Over 2.5 50% fair 2.00
Over 3.5 28% fair 3.56
Under 1.5 24% fair 4.12
Under 2.5 50% fair 2.00
Under 3.5 72% fair 1.39

Both teams score

GG · Yes 55% fair 1.80
NG · No 45% fair 2.24

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.6 – 0.6. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Sunderland 29% 3.43
  • Draw 41% 2.45
  • Brentford 30% 3.32

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 75% 1.34
  • Under 0.5 25% 3.97
  • Over 1.5 36% 2.78
  • Under 1.5 64% 1.56

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 22% 4.57
  • No 78% 1.28

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 86% 1.17
  • Under 0.5 14% 6.95
  • Over 1.5 50% 1.98
  • Under 1.5 50% 2.02

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 33% 3.07
  • No 67% 1.48

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 64% 1.56
  • No 36% 2.78

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 28% 3.62
  • 2nd half 48% 2.10
  • Equal 25% 4.02

Half time / Full time

  • Sunderland / Sunderland 20% 4.94
  • Sunderland / Draw 6% 16.58
  • Sunderland / Brentford 3% 40.00
  • Draw / Sunderland 13% 7.95
  • Draw / Draw 16% 6.31
  • Draw / Brentford 13% 7.66
  • Brentford / Sunderland 2% 41.32
  • Brentford / Draw 6% 16.58
  • Brentford / Brentford 21% 4.70

Correct score

  • 1-1 13% 7.52
  • 1-2 8% 11.98
  • 0-1 8% 12.00
  • 2-1 8% 12.29
  • 1-0 8% 12.35
  • 0-0 8% 12.72
  • 0-2 6% 15.82
  • 2-0 6% 16.67

Corners & cards

Expected corners 4.8 – 4.3, expected cards 2.1 – 2.1. Cards count yellow and red; settled on 90 minutes.

Total corners

  • Over 7.5 65% 1.54
  • Under 7.5 35% 2.84
  • Over 8.5 53% 1.87
  • Under 8.5 47% 2.14
  • Over 9.5 42% 2.37
  • Under 9.5 58% 1.73
  • Over 10.5 32% 3.12
  • Under 10.5 68% 1.47

Home team corners

  • Over 3.5 66% 1.52
  • Under 3.5 34% 2.92
  • Over 4.5 50% 2.01
  • Under 4.5 50% 1.99

Away team corners

  • Over 3.5 59% 1.71
  • Under 3.5 41% 2.41
  • Over 4.5 42% 2.39
  • Under 4.5 58% 1.72

Most corners

  • Sunderland 50% 2.01
  • Equal 12% 8.60
  • Brentford 39% 2.58

Total cards

  • Over 2.5 78% 1.28
  • Under 2.5 22% 4.56
  • Over 3.5 59% 1.69
  • Under 3.5 41% 2.46
  • Over 4.5 40% 2.51
  • Under 4.5 60% 1.66
  • Over 5.5 24% 4.20
  • Under 5.5 76% 1.31

Most cards

  • Sunderland 40% 2.48
  • Equal 20% 4.94
  • Brentford 39% 2.54

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Our chance
Fair odds
on average this returns about UGX profit per 10,000 UGX staked, if our numbers are right. the odds are close to our fair odds (), so there's little or no edge either way. the bookmaker's odds are below our fair odds (), so the price is too short for the real chance.

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Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.