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KNVB Beker · Netherlands · Round of 64

MVV

22:00
Today

Excelsior

Prediction

We only know 1 recent results for MVV and 1 for Excelsior, so we're not making a pick. The chances below are rough.

MVVDrawExcelsior
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.4
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
1 / 1

Result

1 · Home 43% fair 2.34
X · Draw 26% fair 3.90
2 · Away 32% fair 3.17

Double chance

1X 68% fair 1.46
12 74% fair 1.34
X2 57% fair 1.75

Goals

Over 1.5 82% fair 1.22
Over 2.5 59% fair 1.70
Over 3.5 36% fair 2.75
Under 1.5 18% fair 5.46
Under 2.5 41% fair 2.42
Under 3.5 64% fair 1.57

Both teams score

GG · Yes 62% fair 1.62
NG · No 38% fair 2.61

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.8 – 0.6. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • MVV 34% 2.91
  • Draw 38% 2.61
  • Excelsior 27% 3.66

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 78% 1.28
  • Under 0.5 22% 4.53
  • Over 1.5 41% 2.46
  • Under 1.5 59% 1.68

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 25% 4.00
  • No 75% 1.33

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 89% 1.12
  • Under 0.5 11% 9.17
  • Over 1.5 59% 1.71
  • Under 1.5 41% 2.41

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 39% 2.57
  • No 61% 1.64

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 69% 1.44
  • No 31% 3.27

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 26% 3.78
  • 2nd half 51% 1.97
  • Equal 23% 4.41

Half time / Full time

  • MVV / MVV 25% 3.96
  • MVV / Draw 6% 16.47
  • MVV / Excelsior 3% 38.46
  • Draw / MVV 14% 7.00
  • Draw / Draw 13% 7.42
  • Draw / Excelsior 11% 9.00
  • Excelsior / MVV 3% 30.67
  • Excelsior / Draw 6% 16.47
  • Excelsior / Excelsior 18% 5.60

Correct score

  • 1-1 12% 8.46
  • 2-1 9% 11.06
  • 1-2 8% 13.11
  • 1-0 7% 14.35
  • 2-0 6% 15.43
  • 2-2 6% 15.85
  • 0-1 6% 17.42
  • 0-0 6% 17.79

Rough numbers: we know few recent results for one of the teams.

Is your bookmaker's price good value?

Pick a selection and type the odds your bookmaker offers. If the odds are higher than our fair odds, the bet pays more than its real chance deserves.

Our chance
Fair odds
on average this returns about UGX profit per 10,000 UGX staked, if our numbers are right. the odds are close to our fair odds (), so there's little or no edge either way. the bookmaker's odds are below our fair odds (), so the price is too short for the real chance.

Value means better long-run returns, not a sure win. Any single bet can still lose.

Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.