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Copa del Rey · Spain · Round of 128

Covadonga

22:00
Today

Valladolid

Prediction

We only know 1 recent results for Covadonga and 1 for Valladolid, so we're not making a pick. The chances below are rough.

CovadongaDrawValladolid
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.2
Most likely score
1-1
Past results used
1 / 1

Result

1 · Home 43% fair 2.30
X · Draw 27% fair 3.65
2 · Away 29% fair 3.43

Double chance

1X 71% fair 1.41
12 73% fair 1.38
X2 57% fair 1.77

Goals

Over 1.5 76% fair 1.31
Over 2.5 51% fair 1.97
Over 3.5 29% fair 3.50
Under 1.5 24% fair 4.19
Under 2.5 49% fair 2.03
Under 3.5 71% fair 1.40

Both teams score

GG · Yes 55% fair 1.81
NG · No 45% fair 2.23

Highlighted markets clear our confidence bar. "Fair" is the price that matches our probability; a bookmaker price in green is higher than fair.

Halves, HT/FT & correct score

Expected goals before half time: 0.7 – 0.6. Half markets are settled on the half-time score; the 2nd half counts goals after the break only. HT/FT and correct score use the 90-minute score.

1st half result

  • Covadonga 34% 2.90
  • Draw 40% 2.48
  • Valladolid 25% 3.96

1st half goals

  • Over 0.5 75% 1.33
  • Under 0.5 25% 4.03
  • Over 1.5 37% 2.74
  • Under 1.5 63% 1.58

1st half: both teams score

  • Yes 22% 4.55
  • No 78% 1.28

2nd half goals

  • Over 0.5 86% 1.17
  • Under 0.5 14% 7.02
  • Over 1.5 51% 1.97
  • Under 1.5 49% 2.03

2nd half: both teams score

  • Yes 32% 3.09
  • No 68% 1.48

Goal in both halves

  • Yes 64% 1.55
  • No 36% 2.82

Highest scoring half

  • 1st half 28% 3.59
  • 2nd half 47% 2.11
  • Equal 25% 4.04

Half time / Full time

  • Covadonga / Covadonga 26% 3.87
  • Covadonga / Draw 6% 16.86
  • Covadonga / Valladolid 2% 48.08
  • Draw / Covadonga 15% 6.74
  • Draw / Draw 16% 6.44
  • Draw / Valladolid 11% 9.39
  • Valladolid / Covadonga 3% 35.59
  • Valladolid / Draw 6% 16.86
  • Valladolid / Valladolid 16% 6.10

Correct score

  • 1-1 13% 7.66
  • 1-0 9% 10.93
  • 2-1 9% 10.99
  • 0-0 8% 13.02
  • 2-0 8% 13.12
  • 1-2 7% 13.87
  • 0-1 7% 14.18
  • 2-2 5% 18.42

Rough numbers: we know few recent results for one of the teams.

Is your bookmaker's price good value?

Pick a selection and type the odds your bookmaker offers. If the odds are higher than our fair odds, the bet pays more than its real chance deserves.

Our chance
Fair odds
on average this returns about UGX profit per 10,000 UGX staked, if our numbers are right. the odds are close to our fair odds (), so there's little or no edge either way. the bookmaker's odds are below our fair odds (), so the price is too short for the real chance.

Value means better long-run returns, not a sure win. Any single bet can still lose.

Predictions are probabilities worked out from past results, not promises. 18+ only. Play responsibly.